Taxation Law
An AI Capability Threshold for Rent-Funded Universal Basic Income in an AI-Automated Economy
We derive the first closed-form condition under which artificial intelligence (AI) capital profits could sustainably finance a universal basic income (UBI) without relying on new taxation or the creation of new jobs. In a Solow-Zeira task-automation economy with a CES aggregator $σ< 1$, we introduce an AI capability parameter that scales the productivity of automatable tasks and obtain a tractable expression for the AI capability threshold -- the minimum productivity of AI relative to pre-AI automation required for a balanced transfer. Using current U.S. economic parameters, we find that even in the conservative scenario where no new tasks or jobs emerge, AI systems would only need to reach only 5-7 times today's automation productivity to fund an 11%-of-GDP UBI. Our analysis also reveals some specific policy levers: raising public revenue share (e.g. profit taxation) of AI capital from the current 15% to about 33% halves the required AI capability threshold to attain UBI to 3 times existing automation productivity, but gains diminish beyond 50% public revenue share, especially if regulatory costs increase. Market structure also strongly affects outcomes: monopolistic or concentrated oligopolistic markets reduce the threshold by increasing economic rents, whereas heightened competition significantly raises it. These results therefore offer a rigorous benchmark for assessing when advancing AI capabilities might sustainably finance social transfers in an increasingly automated economy.
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- Government > Tax (0.68)
On Verifiable Legal Reasoning: A Multi-Agent Framework with Formalized Knowledge Representations
Sadowski, Albert, Chudziak, Jarosław A.
Legal reasoning requires both precise interpretation of statutory language and consistent application of complex rules, presenting significant challenges for AI systems. This paper introduces a modular multi-agent framework that decomposes legal reasoning into distinct knowledge acquisition and application stages. In the first stage, specialized agents extract legal concepts and formalize rules to create verifiable intermediate representations of statutes. The second stage applies this knowledge to specific cases through three steps: analyzing queries to map case facts onto the ontology schema, performing symbolic inference to derive logically entailed conclusions, and generating final answers using a programmatic implementation that operationalizes the ontological knowledge. This bridging of natural language understanding with symbolic reasoning provides explicit and verifiable inspection points, significantly enhancing transparency compared to end-to-end approaches. Evaluation on statutory tax calculation tasks demonstrates substantial improvements, with foundational models achieving 76.4\% accuracy compared to 18.8\% baseline performance, effectively narrowing the performance gap between reasoning and foundational models. These findings suggest that modular architectures with formalized knowledge representations can make sophisticated legal reasoning more accessible through computationally efficient models while enhancing consistency and explainability in AI legal reasoning, establishing a foundation for future research into more transparent, trustworthy, and effective AI systems for legal domain.
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KoTaP: A Panel Dataset for Corporate Tax Avoidance, Performance, and Governance in Korea
Na, Hyungjong, Song, Wonho, Han, Seungyong, Jo, Donghyeon, Myung, Sejin, Kim, Hyungjoon
Category V ariable Definition Tax Avoidance CETR Cash Effective T ax Rate = Cash Taxes Paid / Pre - tax Income GETR GAAP Effective Tax Rate = T otal Tax Expense / Pre - tax Income CETR3 Three - year average CETR GETR3 Three - year average GETR CETR5 Five - year average CETR GETR5 Five - year average GETR A_CETR Adjusted Cash Effective Tax Rate A_GETR Adjusted GAAP Effective T ax Rate A_CETR3 Adjusted three - year average CETR A_GETR3 Adjusted three - year average GETR A_CETR5 Adjusted five - year average CETR A_GETR5 Adjusted five - year average GETR TSTA Total Book - T ax Difference (accrual - based measure) TSDA Discretionary Book - Tax Difference (discretionary accrual - based measure) Profitability ROA Return on Assets = Net Income / Lagged T otal Assets ROE Return on Equity = Net Income / Lagged Equity CFO Operating Cash Flow scaled by total assets LOSS Loss dummy (1 if prior - year net income < 0) Stability LEV Leverage = T otal Liabilities / Total Assets CUR Current Ratio = Current Assets / Current Liabilities SIZE Natural logarithm of total assets PPE Ratio of Property, Plant, and Equipment to total assets AGE Natural logarithm of firm age (based on year of establishment) INVREC Ratio of inventories and receivables to total assets Growth GRW Sales growth rate MB Market - to - Book Ratio = Market Capitalization / Book Equity TQ Tobin's Q = (Market Capitalization + Total Liabilities) / T otal Assets Market Valuation & Governance KOSPI KOSPI listing status dummy BIG4 Big4 audit dummy FORN Foreign ownership share (%) OWN Largest shareholder ownership share (%) Stability Measures Stability measures reflect a firm's financial soundness and its ability to meet obligations. Leverage (LEV) is defined as total liabilities divided by total assets, indicating the firm's degree of financial leverage. The current ratio (CUR), calculated as current assets divided by current liabilities, captures short - term liquidity and payment capacity. Firm size (SIZE) is measured as the natural logarithm of total assets, providing a quantitative indicator of scale. The proportion of property, plant, and eq uipment (PPE), defined as tangible fixed assets divided by total assets, is used to assess the structural stability of the asset base.
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Social World Model-Augmented Mechanism Design Policy Learning
Zhang, Xiaoyuan, Huang, Yizhe, Ma, Chengdong, Chen, Zhixun, Ma, Long, Du, Yali, Zhu, Song-Chun, Yang, Yaodong, Feng, Xue
Designing adaptive mechanisms to align individual and collective interests remains a central challenge in artificial social intelligence. Existing methods often struggle with modeling heterogeneous agents possessing persistent latent traits (e.g., skills, preferences) and dealing with complex multi-agent system dynamics. These challenges are compounded by the critical need for high sample efficiency due to costly real-world interactions. World Models, by learning to predict environmental dynamics, offer a promising pathway to enhance mechanism design in heterogeneous and complex systems. In this paper, we introduce a novel method named SWM-AP (Social World Model-Augmented Mechanism Design Policy Learning), which learns a social world model hierarchically modeling agents' behavior to enhance mechanism design. Specifically, the social world model infers agents' traits from their interaction trajectories and learns a trait-based model to predict agents' responses to the deployed mechanisms. The mechanism design policy collects extensive training trajectories by interacting with the social world model, while concurrently inferring agents' traits online during real-world interactions to further boost policy learning efficiency. Experiments in diverse settings (tax policy design, team coordination, and facility location) demonstrate that SWM-AP outperforms established model-based and model-free RL baselines in cumulative rewards and sample efficiency.
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Tesla sales jump as buyers scramble before EV tax credit expires
Tesla sales have surged in the third quarter as buyers in the United States rushed to take advantage of electric vehicle (EV) tax credits that were eliminated under President Donald Trump's sweeping tax bill passed this year. On Thursday, the automaker reported a 7.4 percent increase in sales compared with the same period last year as demand was driven by customers looking to buy before the credits officially expired at the end of September. Tesla also delivered 481,166 units of its Model 3 compact sedan and Model Y crossover in the quarter, well above Wall Street expectations. The Elon Musk-led carmaker frequently talked up the expiry of the tax credits, using it alongside discounts and financing deals to spur sales and leases of its EVs. Investors are worried because sales are now expected to slump as the $7,500 federal tax credit disappears.
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How Much of Your Data Can Suck? Thresholds for Domain Performance and Emergent Misalignment in LLMs
Ouyang, Jian, T, Arman, Jin, Ge
This paper investigates the impact of incorrect data on the performance and safety of large language models (LLMs), specifically gpt-4o, during supervised fine-tuning (SFT). Although LLMs become increasingly vital across broad domains like finance, coding, law, and health, fine-tuning on incorrect data can lead to "emergent misalignment," producing harmful or deceptive outputs unrelated to the intended task. We evaluate gpt-4o models fine-tuned with varying ratios (10\% to 90\% correct) of both obviously and subtly incorrect data across four domains: coding, finance, health, and legal. Our findings show that even modest amounts of incorrect data (10-25\%) dramatically degrade domain performance and not moral alignment. A clear threshold of at least 50\% correct data is needed for models to consistently recover strong performance, though they rarely match the robustness and safety of the base model, which exhibits near-perfect alignment and zero dangerous completions out-of-the-box. This research emphasizes that the cost of incorrect data is heavy, highlighting the critical need for extremely high-quality data curation or, alternatively, leveraging robust base models without unnecessary fine-tuning for high-stakes applications.
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An LLM Agentic Approach for Legal-Critical Software: A Case Study for Tax Prep Software
Gogani-Khiabani, Sina, Trivedi, Ashutosh, Saha, Diptikalyan, Tizpaz-Niari, Saeid
Large language models (LLMs) show promise for translating natural-language statutes into executable logic, but reliability in legally critical settings remains challenging due to ambiguity and hallucinations. We present an agentic approach for developing legal-critical software, using U.S. federal tax preparation as a case study. The key challenge is test-case generation under the oracle problem, where correct outputs require interpreting law. Building on metamorphic testing, we introduce higher-order metamorphic relations that compare system outputs across structured shifts among similar individuals. Because authoring such relations is tedious and error-prone, we use an LLM-driven, role-based framework to automate test generation and code synthesis. We implement a multi-agent system that translates tax code into executable software and incorporates a metamorphic-testing agent that searches for counterexamples. In experiments, our framework using a smaller model (GPT-4o-mini) achieves a worst-case pass rate of 45%, outperforming frontier models (GPT-4o and Claude 3.5, 9-15%) on complex tax-code tasks. These results support agentic LLM methodologies as a path to robust, trustworthy legal-critical software from natural-language specifications.
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